What Are the Odds?
If 25% of convicted Antifa terrorists are transgender, what does that tell us?
Eight Antifa terrorists rock up at an ICE facility and try to murder an agent. Two of them are transgender. What are the odds? I’ll tell you: 25%. A quarter. We’ll get back to this basic—but very important—arithmetic in a second.
The conviction last week of eight Antifa members for terrorism and attempted murder—and a ninth on related charges—is a milestone in American criminal history. It’s the first time members of Antifa have faced terrorism charges and been found guilty. Antifa has existed for decades, and is responsible for countless outrages. Cities like Portland, Oregon fall entire under its sway, and local government openly colludes with its members to persecute ordinary patriotic Americans.
The incident took place at a Dallas ICE facility in July last year and left one agent seriously wounded, shot in the neck.
Seven of the eight—Cameron Arnold (also known as Autumn Hill), Zachary Evetts, Bradford Morris (also known as Meagan Morris), Maricela Rueda, Savanna Batten, Elizabeth Soto, and Ines Soto—now face between 10 and 60 years in jail. Benjamin Song, the eighth, who was identified as the shooter, faces life. The ninth defendant, Daniel Rolando Sánchez-Estrada, was found guilty of two lesser charges—concealing documents and conspiracy to conceal—but could still spend 40 years in jail.
The verdict was hailed in a statement by Attorney General Pam Bondi, who said Antifa had been “allowed to flourish in Democrat-led cities” for too long.
She added, ““Today’s verdict on terrorism charges will not be the last as the Trump administration systematically dismantles Antifa and finally halts their violence on America’s streets.”
The hope now is that wider action will take place to curb Antifa’s activities, and maybe even break up the organization entirely.
And it’s about time. When Charlie Kirk was murdered six months ago, there was an enormous outpouring of sympathy and a broad popular desire to do something about radical leftist violence in America, or so it seemed. It was clear the murder was a political assassination from the left, and the response from liberals in every walk of life, from the schools to the military and federal government, in public and broadcast in gloating videos and posts on social media, confirmed that. The denials and counter-claims—“The killer was a MAGA extremist who killed Charlie Kirk because he thought he was a cuck who betrayed the right”—rang more and more hollow each time they were repeated.
Twelve days after the murder, President Trump designated Antifa a “domestic terrorist organization” in an Executive Order, which described the group as a “militarist, anarchist enterprise” that “explicitly calls for the overthrow of the United States Government, law enforcement authorities and our system of law.” The Order cited a clear “pattern of political violence” by Antifa and directed all executive departments and agencies to “utilize all applicable authorities to investigate, disrupt, and dismantle any and all illegal operations” by Antifa, and to take action against any person or group providing Antifa with material support or funding.
Trump followed the Executive Order with a national-security memorandum that explicitly referenced Charlie Kirk’s murder to justify action against Antifa.
And then—nothing. Hundreds, maybe even thousands, of leftist scalps had been claimed by angry patriots like Rudy Giuliani, who led a tireless campaign for weeks, calling employers from his hospital bed. But the administration didn’t seem to want to do its part. We expected door-kickers and arrests, entire Antifa cells rolled up by the boys in blue.
Nothing.
The lack of action was made all the worse by the shameful, absurd conspiracising that quickly took hold of the online right. Morons like Ian Carroll, who should be delivering pizza and drinking bongwater, now told us that Charlie Kirk was killed by his own wife, who wanted to take over TPUSA and usher in the sacrifice of the Red Heifer and the Third Temple, leading to a breakaway alien civilisation—or something like that. The details don’t really matter: only the retardation and its soul-sapping effects on morale.
Now the Trump DoJ really has the chance to do something and to draw a line under this whole sorry period of inaction and infighting. I really hope it does.
Which brings us back to that little bit of arithmetic I did at the start of this piece.
Estimates vary, but for argument’s sake, let’s say 1% of the adult population of the US now considers themselves to be transgender. If 25% of convicted Antifa terrorists are transgender, that’s an over-representation of 2,500% or 25x. And remember, I’m not talking about run-of-the-mill Antifa who pick up placards to wave and dildos to throw. I mean the worst of the worst: the ones who pick up guns and knives and bombs and go out to kill their enemies. I don’t think this will change when—if—more convictions come.
Put like that, it’s obvious: America has a problem with transgender terrorists.
I’ve said this before.




