Simone and Malcolm Collins have operated companies on five continents that collectively pulled in seventy million dollars annually, raised a PE fund, directed strategy at top, early-stage VC firms, written five bestselling books, served as Managing Director of one of the world’s most exclusive secret societies (Dialog), and earned degrees in neuroscience, business, and technology policy from St. Andrews, Stanford, and Cambridge.
Currently they are building a new educational system designed to increase the quality—and decrease the cost—of gifted education. Their day job is running Travelmax.com. They are the founders of the Pronatalist movement (pronatalist.com), run a podcast called Based Camp and also Tweet at simonehcollins.
I first came into contact with the Collinses when we participated in the Natal Conference in Austin, Texas last year. You’ll remember that was a gathering of various different thinkers and activists, including a good few people from RW Twitter, to discuss and gameplan the West’s fertility crisis. The liberal media hated it, of course. Since then I’ve been on their podcast twice, and now they’re on mine. It’s always an absolute pleasure talking to them: they’re really smart and very funny too.
Today we’re talking about demographic change and, in particular, the secret chauvinism that underlies liberal attitudes to mass immigration. Malcolm wrote a great essay for MAN’S WORLD about this. Here’s the beginning of it:
Any American under the age of 40 who believes they are going to get their pension or live off their social security is simply bonkers—or, more charitably, they’ve just not run the math. Many pension plans simply assume a larger future workforce will foot the bill, as do most state-social security systems.
From 2010 to 2020, US fertility rates declined by 15.9% and ended the decade at 1.64. That means every 30 years (every generation) we should expect a 40.52% decline in the fertility rate. If this trend continues, for every 100 Americans there will be 27 grand kids and 3.7 great grand kids. Yes, you can find slightly different numbers if you look through different sources but the trend is undeniable at this point—fertility rates are falling fast.
When I bring this up, many people’s instinctive response is to say: “Fertility rates will hit a floor and then stabilize.” After all, that’s what the nerds at the UN’s Population Division keep saying. Isn’t it?
Yes, they do keep saying that. As recently as 2019, a benchmark study by the United Nations Population Division forecast that fertility in Latin American and Caribbean countries would stabilize at an average of around 1.75 children per woman in the latter half of this century. The problem is, less than five years later, all the countries listed in the study, except Mexico, have already dropped below this level. Uruguay, Costa Rica, Chile, Jamaica, and Cuba now have total fertility rates of around 1.3 children per woman—the so-called “ultra-low fertility” threshold that has only been seen in a handful of European and East Asian countries.
In the US, we’re lucky. We get to look around the world at countries further along the road to demographic collapse to see what might be in store for us.
Read the rest here.
IN THE RAW 25: Malcolm and Simon Collins